Dealing with Iran: Containment or Confrontation?
Dr. Paul Pillar
The Iran that existed as a major U.S. ally in the Middle East prior to the 1979 Islamic Revolution is a faded memory. Despite occasional near agreements, our two nations have been unable to break out of the patterns of overt and covert conflicts that have dominated relations for three decades, frustrating five administrations. The protracted conflict over Iran’s nuclear future is the most recent and dangerous chapter in a bitter relationship. How might Iran respond to a preemptive attack and would the costs outweigh a policy of containment and deterrence? Drawing on his unparalleled background in the intelligence community, Dr. Paul Pillar will examine potential future options that best serve the interests of the United States and its allies in the region.
Professor Pillar retired in 2005 from a 28-year career in the U.S. intelligence community, in which his last position was National Intelligence Officer for the Near East and South Asia. Earlier he served in a variety of analytical and managerial positions, including as chief of analytic units at the CIA covering portions of the Near East, the Persian Gulf, and South Asia. Professor Pillar also served in the National Intelligence Council as one of the original members of its Analytic Group. He has been Executive Assistant to CIA's Deputy Director for Intelligence, and Executive Assistant to Director of Central Intelligence William Webster. He has also headed the Assessments and Information Group of the DCI Counter-terrorist Center, and from 1997 to 1999 was deputy chief of the center. He was a Federal Executive Fellow at the Brookings Institution in 1999-2000. Professor Pillar is a retired officer in the U.S. Army Reserve and served on active duty in 1971-1973, including a tour of duty in Vietnam. He taught for several years at Georgetown University and is now a Senior Fellow at Georgetown’s Center for Security Studies.
Date: Thursday, November 29, 2012
Time: Social Hour 5:30 – Announcements & Dinner 6:15 – Speaker and Discussion 7:00
Location: Tucson Country Club, 2950 N. Camino Principal
Deadline for reservations: November 24
Next Meeting – January 31
Dr. Bruce Jentleson on The future of U.S. superpower status